& \multicolumn{4}{c}{New employees} & \multicolumn{4}{c}{New postings} \\
\cmidrule(lr{0.5em}){2-5} \cmidrule(lr{0.5em}){6-9}
\textbf{A. Binary outcome} & (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) & (7) & (8) \\ \midrule
\hspace{0.2cm} $\widehat{\text{Preferred}}$&     0.04         &    -0.18         &    -0.05         &    -0.01         &    -0.06         &    -0.10         &    -0.09         &     0.11         \\
                &$\left[\text{0.85}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.49}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.85}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.97}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.83}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.71}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.73}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.69}\right]$         \\
\midrule Quarters&        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         &        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         \\
DV Mean         &     0.11         &     0.24         &     0.34         &     0.39         &     0.29         &     0.45         &     0.50         &     0.54         \\
DV SD           &     0.31         &     0.43         &     0.48         &     0.49         &     0.46         &     0.50         &     0.50         &     0.50         \\
FS F-statistic  &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         \\
Observations    &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         \\
\\ \textbf{B. Log-transformed outcome} & (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) & (7) & (8) \\ \midrule
\hspace{0.2cm} $\widehat{\text{Preferred}}$&     0.36         &     0.30         &     0.28         &     0.34         &     0.51         &     0.45         &     0.34         &     0.70         \\
                &$\left[\text{0.24}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.50}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.61}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.55}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.49}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.58}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.72}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.47}\right]$         \\
\midrule Quarters&        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         &        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         \\
DV Mean         &     0.10         &     0.27         &     0.43         &     0.47         &     0.61         &     0.98         &     1.32         &     1.48         \\
DV SD           &     0.32         &     0.53         &     0.70         &     0.72         &     1.00         &     1.19         &     1.44         &     1.50         \\
FS F-statistic  &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         &     15.5         \\
Observations    &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         &      207         \\
\\ \textbf{C. Constituencies with any office} & (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) & (7) & (8) \\ \midrule
\hspace{0.2cm} $\widehat{\text{Preferred}}$&     0.03         &    -0.39         &    -0.21         &    -0.15         &    -0.15         &    -0.28         &    -0.31         &     0.02         \\
                &$\left[\text{0.93}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.35}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.61}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.71}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.71}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.46}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.40}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.96}\right]$         \\
\midrule Quarters&        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         &        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         \\
DV Mean         &     0.16         &     0.34         &     0.48         &     0.55         &     0.41         &     0.64         &     0.71         &     0.76         \\
DV SD           &     0.37         &     0.48         &     0.50         &     0.50         &     0.50         &     0.48         &     0.46         &     0.43         \\
FS F-statistic  &      6.8         &      6.8         &      6.8         &      6.8         &      6.8         &      6.8         &      6.8         &      6.8         \\
Observations    &      157         &      157         &      157         &      157         &      157         &      157         &      157         &      157         \\
\\ \textbf{D. Excluding Dar-es-Salaam} & (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) & (7) & (8) \\ \midrule
\hspace{0.2cm} $\widehat{\text{Preferred}}$&    -0.01         &    -0.24         &    -0.11         &    -0.07         &    -0.12         &    -0.13         &    -0.12         &     0.09         \\
                &$\left[\text{0.97}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.36}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.69}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.82}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.67}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.66}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.67}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.75}\right]$         \\
\midrule Quarters&        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         &        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         \\
DV Mean         &     0.10         &     0.24         &     0.34         &     0.39         &     0.30         &     0.45         &     0.50         &     0.54         \\
DV SD           &     0.30         &     0.43         &     0.48         &     0.49         &     0.46         &     0.50         &     0.50         &     0.50         \\
FS F-statistic  &     13.8         &     13.8         &     13.8         &     13.8         &     13.8         &     13.8         &     13.8         &     13.8         \\
Observations    &      202         &      202         &      202         &      202         &      202         &      202         &      202         &      202         \\
\\ \textbf{E. Excluding elite-preferred incumbents} & (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) & (7) & (8) \\ \midrule
\hspace{0.2cm} $\widehat{\text{Preferred}}$&    -0.09         &    -0.31         &    -0.20         &    -0.15         &    -0.18         &    -0.12         &    -0.20         &     0.11         \\
                &$\left[\text{0.74}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.33}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.56}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.67}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.58}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.74}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.58}\right]$         &$\left[\text{0.75}\right]$         \\
\midrule Quarters&        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         &        1         &        2         &        3         &        4         \\
DV Mean         &     0.13         &     0.22         &     0.35         &     0.39         &     0.31         &     0.46         &     0.54         &     0.59         \\
DV SD           &     0.34         &     0.42         &     0.48         &     0.49         &     0.47         &     0.50         &     0.50         &     0.50         \\
FS F-statistic  &      9.1         &      9.1         &      9.1         &      9.1         &      9.1         &      9.1         &      9.1         &      9.1         \\
Observations    &      133         &      133         &      133         &      133         &      133         &      133         &      133         &      133         \\
